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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 7:34 am 
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http://www.nola.com/tulane/index.ssf/20 ... rt_m-rpt-2

4-8, 2-6

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 7:52 am 
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Duncan's gaze into his crystal ball seems to indicate a lack of defense.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 7:55 am 
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I think Fritz will do better especially in close games.

Separate note, I think Guerry Smith is on to something that Navy without Worth will be a much diminished team. Look for a Tulane upset there.

Otherwise Duncan just reflects the (often justified) conventional wisdom about Tulane. Just predict they will lose either on a micro or macro scale and you'll never go broke.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 8:24 am 
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Picking Tulane to have a losing season is a pretty easy prognostication. Certainly been right far more than wrong.

Maybe it's the typical pre-season optimism, but I do have a good feeling about this team.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 8:35 am 
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I'll take the over


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 8:44 am 
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I'm not expecting a 10 win season but remember this...

Last season with no experience at QB, Tulane won 4 games and had a chance to win 3 more (Navy, SMU and Wake Forest).

I expect Tulane to win at least 5 to 6 games this year. I have faith in CWF and his system!

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 9:15 am 
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I think we get to six, even with the tougher schedule. I don't put credence in any of the five minutes of effort Duncan gives to anything Tulane.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 9:40 am 
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Baywave1 wrote:
Separate note, I think Guerry Smith is on to something that Navy without Worth will be a much diminished team. Look for a Tulane upset there.

I had this as a win already thinking they still had Worth. I just hope the replacement isn't another Worth. A relatively unknown who performs almost as good as his predecessor though the gap between Reynolds and Worth may have been larger than Worth and his replacement.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 9:50 am 
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It's just so refreshing to be playing competent D-I football. I feel like we can hang with anyone on our schedule except for the Sooners.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 9:51 am 
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I'm predicting a (minor) Bowl year. The biggest difference between Tulane in the recent past and Tulane today is WF and his Staff. I wouldn't underestimate him.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 10:08 am 
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5 - 7 (3 - 5 Conf.)

Quarterback play will be the biggest mystery this season. From where I sit, Tulane is above average/good at every position, except for Quarterback. This offense needs decent QB performance and leadership.

What QB will step up and lead the offense? The defense and running game will be fine.

If the Tulane QB surprises everybody and plays outstanding, then this ball club will go to a bowl. Otherwise, another losing season lurks on the horizon.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 10:20 am 
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Private Joker wrote:
It's just so refreshing to be playing competent D-I football.

My feelings exactly. More importantly, I have a very strong sense the players believe this too. Not sure we are at the "run through a brick wall for coach" phase yet, but that may come if we start winning.
I think the Navy game is huge. They have had our number for a while. If we can somehow grind out a win (and it will be a grind), then I think we all have to reset season expectations because belief and confidence will rise exponentially. Things could snowball (in a good way).

GreenieBacker wrote:
The biggest difference between Tulane in the recent past and Tulane today is WF and his Staff. I wouldn't underestimate him.
Agree strongly. I just don't think it's possible that a real TU fan (and one who has watched us for a decade or more) can come to any other conclusion than yours.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 10:40 am 
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if CJ or Toledo had been coaching us last year we would have been lucky to win two games and been blown out of a whole bunch of them.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 10:50 am 
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Private Joker wrote:
It's just so refreshing to be playing competent D-I football. I feel like we can hang with anyone on our schedule except for the Sooners.

We haven't yet.
Hopefully we will.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:04 am 
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waverider wrote:
Baywave1 wrote:
Separate note, I think Guerry Smith is on to something that Navy without Worth will be a much diminished team. Look for a Tulane upset there.

I had this as a win already thinking they still had Worth. I just hope the replacement isn't another Worth. A relatively unknown who performs almost as good as his predecessor though the gap between Reynolds and Worth may have been larger than Worth and his replacement.

I was under the impression all Navy QBs were world-beaters cuz Reynolds was good?


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:07 am 
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5-7 gives us a real good shot at backdooring a bowl via APR. But hey, I think we get to at least 6 this year.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:28 am 
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Also, I don't see us losing to Army.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:33 am 
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On my Greenbackers prognostication I started by circling what I thought were the likely losses and only came up with 4. The other 8 games we have no reason not to win.

I don't remember exactly how my picks went. I do know Oklahoma and South Florida were two of the losses. Memphis and Houston the two others but even Houston is beatable. Tulsa could be tough but I'm thinking we win one of those two and thought that Tulsa is replacing a bunch of players on offense.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:35 am 
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tulaneoutlaw wrote:
Also, I don't see us losing to Army.

Finally should be back on the right side of those games.

Unless we bring in a guest coach for that game named Bob Toledo :shock:

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:36 am 
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waverider wrote:
tulaneoutlaw wrote:
Also, I don't see us losing to Army.

Finally should be back on the right side of those games.

Unless we bring in a guest coach for that game named Bob Toledo :shock:


All that reminds me of is Tad Gormley homecoming in 2008. My first homecoming and boy was it a disaster. Sadly a portent of things to come.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:07 pm 
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Here's my pessimistic take even though I expect both improved play and an improved record:

Grambling is a team we should beat comfortably but they're better than Southern U.

Navy is tough and of course it's totally sane and reasonable to expect them to beat us but I don't see them improving much on last year and we were C- QB'ing away from beating them by more than one score last year.

Oklahoma is just plain better than us across the board.

Army has improved a great deal under Monken and they're a threat to beat and could beat us badly if we lack focus (I don't count on that) or if we cough the ball up a bunch (could happen to us, could happen to them). Their schedule is moderately tougher this year in that they don't play two 1-aa teams like they did last year.

Tulsa has been crazy productive on offense and they should continue to be dangerous. Their schedule is tougher than last year and last year they won three OT games. They will be and should be favored against us but I expect them to regress to the mean somewhat in 2017.

FIU doesn't look like much but we don't have a great track record vs. these teams.

South Florida should be pretty darn good and Charlie Strong is experienced but it's not unreasonable to expect some hiccups in transition years. The loss of Taggart could interrupt their trajectory. It's freaky that this will be the first time we've ever played them.

Along with USF, I think this is the conference game that is closest to a game that we "can't win." Memphis returns their coach, QB, and their very good core of skill players (Tulsa would be like this but without the returning QB).

Cincy doesn't look great but the interesting thing about the AAC East is that while none of the four new hires look like slam dunks to me, one them has to work out. Maybe Cincy will be the long-term winner out of that group and it will start to show up this year.

I could see East Carolina realizing early that they've made a mistake with their coach and stacking their bats but we've never won in Greenville, ever. I also think ECU might have gotten lucky with a grad transfer at QB.

I think Houston starts a bit of a decline under Applewhite but they have a pretty solid roster still. This has a good deal to do with the late and unlamented Tony Levine as well as Tom Herman.

SMU has a softer schedule and is experienced. They are expecting a very good year but even if they're better I know we'll be improved and they shouldn't be able to outclass us. They'll be favored but I could see them losing focus if things go too well. If they carry in eight or so wins SMU fans and players will have to read about how Morris could be headed to Texas A&M.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:11 pm 
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waverider wrote:
tulaneoutlaw wrote:
Also, I don't see us losing to Army.

Finally should be back on the right side of those games.

Unless we bring in a guest coach for that game named Bob Toledo :shock:

Haha! The post of the week! I'll buy you a Happy Meal.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 4:57 pm 
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tulaneoutlaw wrote:
5-7 gives us a real good shot at backdooring a bowl via APR. But hey, I think we get to at least 6 this year.


IIRC there was an article written when we were still in position to go 5-7 that mentioned there were several teams ahead of us in the APR to get the bowl slot or two that might go to 5-7 teams. That might be b/c of all the players we had leave in poor academic standing under CJ.

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 6:25 pm 
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As I peruse here a message popped up on my screen...

"Harvey strengthens top a category 4". Wow that was quick to go from a 3 to a 4 in such a short time. I don't think I wanna say "Roll Wave" right now. Prayers go out to those impacted by Harvey.

Fan since '54

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 25, 2017 8:56 pm 
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This little tidbit from the Press:

The Roller Tribune wrote:
As the sun begins to rise upon the 2017 college football season, the Tulane campus is couched in cautious optimism, with the Green Wave Football team sitting undefeated and preparing for a visit from the Grambling Tigers.
The prevailing wisdom for athletics is to "take it one game at a time," and Tulane is wisely not projecting beyond the Grambling game, but the feeling is high that odds-on favorite Tulane will still be undefeated when the Tigers leave town.


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