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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Mon Nov 11, 2019 5:12 pm 
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From the fearthewave weekly email:

Quote:
Bill Connelly ranks Temple at #45 overall in the SP+ Rankings, with the #92 Offense (meh) and the #31 Defense (pretty, pretty good). For comparison, Tulane moved up to #33 in the bye week with the #12 offense (that’s awesome) and the #62 defense.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Tue Nov 12, 2019 8:23 am 
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"After watching Temple play USF this past Thursday, I have no fear that we will outscore them unless we have a fluke game and turn it over 3 or 4 times (like Memphis did)."
Even without turnovers, our Achilles heel is the enormous number of penalties we suffer each game (false starts, holding, etc.) that ruin offensive drives.


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 12:50 pm 
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We are now 6 point favorites

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 12:54 pm 
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Tough to get a handle on Temple. If they played Tulsa I think I’d have a handle on them. ECU was struggling to move the ball when they played Temple and USF has a very rough QB situation. The gap between those two teams and the rest of the AAC offenses they’ve played is vast.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 2:24 pm 
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WaveProf wrote:
We are now 6 point favorites


I don't understand that line and the swing to Tulane - at all.


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 2:47 pm 
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1401973 wrote:
WaveProf wrote:
We are now 6 point favorites


I don't understand that line and the swing to Tulane - at all.

Well the metrics say we are better, the analysis says we match up well, and blind betters see our record ATS. Add the three together and.....

We meanwhile have a lifetime of skepticism about road games against solid teams. It colors our worries. But what are our examples this year? Auburn, Army, and Memphis. And we are 2-1 ATS in those as well.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 2:56 pm 
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1401973 wrote:
WaveProf wrote:
We are now 6 point favorites


I don't understand that line and the swing to Tulane - at all.


Temple is wearing throwback uniforms from the Sugar Bowl where we beat them. 20-14. 6 points.


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 3:01 pm 
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Like most of the country right now it’s decidedly colder than just 24 hours ago in Philadelphia.

Partly sunny temperature forecast for game time is dropping, with temps perhaps nipping 40 around noon ET but mostly in the 30s. Wind around 10 kts making it feel in the 20s as the game progresses. Sunset is at 4:44ET so a lot of the second half will be under the lights and even colder.

Going to be an adult beverage, multilayered Under Armour Cold Gear kind of day.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 3:17 pm 
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TUPF wrote:
Like most of the country right now it’s decidedly colder than just 24 hours ago in Philadelphia.

Partly sunny temperature forecast for game time is dropping, with temps perhaps nipping 40 around noon ET but mostly in the 30s. Wind around 10 kts making it feel in the 20s as the game progresses. Sunset is at 4:44ET so a lot of the second half will be under the lights and even colder.

Going to be an adult beverage, multilayered Under Armour Cold Gear kind of day.


Thanks for the guidance. My in-laws, although no Tulane ties, are still hyped about coming to the game.
Your transportation suggestion is most appreciated.


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 3:28 pm 
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StPeteWave wrote:
TUPF wrote:
Like most of the country right now it’s decidedly colder than just 24 hours ago in Philadelphia.

Partly sunny temperature forecast for game time is dropping, with temps perhaps nipping 40 around noon ET but mostly in the 30s. Wind around 10 kts making it feel in the 20s as the game progresses. Sunset is at 4:44ET so a lot of the second half will be under the lights and even colder.

Going to be an adult beverage, multilayered Under Armour Cold Gear kind of day.


Thanks for the guidance. My in-laws, although no Tulane ties, are still hyped about coming to the game.
Your transportation suggestion is most appreciated.

Glad to help. Counter to my own advice I’m driving in from TUPF South and taking out a second mortgage to park in K Lot near the tailgate. Too much hassle to park at TUPF North and double back.

I used to park at the Fern Rock subway station when going to Eagles games from the burbs. Whichever station you board at, take it to the end and make sure you have return tokens in hand for each of you.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 4:09 pm 
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TUPF, I know Philly is a tough town. Not sure about Temple fans. What do you expect for attendance? 20k?


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 4:37 pm 
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1401973 wrote:
TUPF, I know Philly is a tough town. Not sure about Temple fans. What do you expect for attendance? 20k?

Low this year was the opener vs. Bucknell, 26k. High was 34k vs. Memphis. Last home game, where they got smoked by UCF, was 30k but they had the win last week at USF to make them bowl eligible.

The cold might drive this under 30k and with the Eagles hosting the Patriots on Sunday it might pick off a few more. I’d say 28k in the lower bowl.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 4:52 pm 
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that's pretty decent. 5 straight years of success and bowls will do that I guess. Let's hope we get there soon. An engaged 25 to 30k in Yulman would make it a tough place to play.


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 6:58 pm 
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Espn put win chances at 64.6%

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:22 pm 
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Maybe this is unwarranted, but I’m a little worried about our passing game and ball security on a dry, cold day. Receivers, runners, etc will have gloves but JM can only wear one.

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"It's my job to prepare the coaches. It's their job is to prepare the players and the players' job is to play lights out." Willie Fritz

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:14 pm 
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waverider wrote:
Maybe this is unwarranted, but I’m a little worried about our passing game and ball security on a dry, cold day. Receivers, runners, etc will have gloves but JM can only wear one.
Agree. A snarky rejoinder would be that it’ll be the same conditions on the home side of the field but I do share your concerns.

Maybe Temple’s throwback 1935 jerseys will be made of 84 year old materials and they’ll freeze their butts off.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:18 pm 
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Hot weather has seemingly sometimes given Tulane a home field advantage. Sometimes not. So maybe cold helps our northern brethren and maybe it doesn't.

I'm just wondering why won't JM wear two gloves if he wants to? How do we know that? I see qbs do it all the time although probably the majority don't.


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:27 pm 
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Baywave1 wrote:
Hot weather has seemingly sometimes given Tulane a home field advantage. Sometimes not. So maybe cold helps our northern brethren and maybe it doesn't.

I'm just wondering why won't JM wear two gloves if he wants to? How do we know that? I see qbs do it all the time although probably the majority don't.

I’ve seen us disadvantaged by the heat far more times than advantaged by it

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Wed Nov 13, 2019 11:02 pm 
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This is just one observation but I did a high school playoff game last Friday under the lights and at kickoff it was 40 and was 35 in the 4Q. It was clear with a slight breeze. I really didn’t see anything in the game that I would say was affected by the temperature. Most players had gloves and long sleeves but no one had those muff hand warmers. As an umpire I wore Under Armor Cold Gear layers and was comfortable and we don’t move 1/10 as much as the players do.

Unless we have a bunch of hothouse flowers on our team I don’t think it’s a factor. If you are standing still in the stands that’s another story.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Thu Nov 14, 2019 6:24 am 
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waverider wrote:
Maybe this is unwarranted, but I’m a little worried about our passing game and ball security on a dry, cold day. Receivers, runners, etc will have gloves but JM can only wear one.


Teddy Bridgewater laughs at this take.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Thu Nov 14, 2019 10:24 am 
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Sophandros wrote:
waverider wrote:
Maybe this is unwarranted, but I’m a little worried about our passing game and ball security on a dry, cold day. Receivers, runners, etc will have gloves but JM can only wear one.


Teddy Bridgewater laughs at this take.
why? He likes cold weather? He fumbled a ball at Navy because he had no grip like JM?

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"It's my job to prepare the coaches. It's their job is to prepare the players and the players' job is to play lights out." Willie Fritz

"If you want to win you have to have good players." Vince Gibson


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Thu Nov 14, 2019 10:36 am 
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TUPF wrote:
StPeteWave wrote:
TUPF wrote:
Like most of the country right now it’s decidedly colder than just 24 hours ago in Philadelphia.

Partly sunny temperature forecast for game time is dropping, with temps perhaps nipping 40 around noon ET but mostly in the 30s. Wind around 10 kts making it feel in the 20s as the game progresses. Sunset is at 4:44ET so a lot of the second half will be under the lights and even colder.

Going to be an adult beverage, multilayered Under Armour Cold Gear kind of day.


Thanks for the guidance. My in-laws, although no Tulane ties, are still hyped about coming to the game.
Your transportation suggestion is most appreciated.

Glad to help. Counter to my own advice I’m driving in from TUPF South and taking out a second mortgage to park in K Lot near the tailgate. Too much hassle to park at TUPF North and double back.

I used to park at the Fern Rock subway station when going to Eagles games from the burbs. Whichever station you board at, take it to the end and make sure you have return tokens in hand for each of you.


I just got the word that our host prefers to drive, so plans have changed.


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Thu Nov 14, 2019 10:47 am 
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Taking a subway to a college football game sounds like my absolute dream. That’s really cool/convenient. Somehow the unreliability of the streetcars dampens my enthusiasm for doing so in New Orleans....

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“We will expect success in all endeavors and be prepared to assess and hold ourselves accountable when we aren't successful. Tulane is a top 40 academic institution and it should expect nothing less from its athletic department.” --Troy Dannen 11.5.16


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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Thu Nov 14, 2019 10:59 am 
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StPeteWave wrote:
TUPF wrote:
StPeteWave wrote:
TUPF wrote:
Like most of the country right now it’s decidedly colder than just 24 hours ago in Philadelphia.

Partly sunny temperature forecast for game time is dropping, with temps perhaps nipping 40 around noon ET but mostly in the 30s. Wind around 10 kts making it feel in the 20s as the game progresses. Sunset is at 4:44ET so a lot of the second half will be under the lights and even colder.

Going to be an adult beverage, multilayered Under Armour Cold Gear kind of day.


Thanks for the guidance. My in-laws, although no Tulane ties, are still hyped about coming to the game.
Your transportation suggestion is most appreciated.

Glad to help. Counter to my own advice I’m driving in from TUPF South and taking out a second mortgage to park in K Lot near the tailgate. Too much hassle to park at TUPF North and double back.

I used to park at the Fern Rock subway station when going to Eagles games from the burbs. Whichever station you board at, take it to the end and make sure you have return tokens in hand for each of you.


I just got the word that our host prefers to drive, so plans have changed.
$22 to park in K Lot which is the location of the tailgate. That’s a lot less than I had expected. It’s $40 for Eagles games.

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 Post subject: Re: Tulane opens -4
PostPosted: Thu Nov 14, 2019 11:06 am 
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TUPF wrote:
$22 to park in K Lot which is the location of the tailgate. That’s a lot less than I had expected. It’s $40 for Eagles games.

In fairness, the Dome charged $10 (?) for parking for Tulane games, and I'm sure they charged way more than that for Saints (even back then)

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