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OGSB
 Post subject: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:57 pm 
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Where do the Panthers go from here? Let’s look at Saturday night’s (sic) false start in New Orleans.

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MattK
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:46 pm 
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A couple of things on that article..

1) He says they gifted us 14 points off turnovers. The first seven did involve a 70 yard drive.

2) ‘If FIU got a TD after the Bardwell fumble’ they’d have gone into half down 7 and getting the ball.
I guess that’s consistent with the first point, but I don’t think it gets magically easier to drive the length of the field after a turnover.
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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:49 pm 
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MattK wrote:
A couple of things on that article..

1) He says they gifted us 14 points off turnovers. The first seven did involve a 70 yard drive.

2) ‘If FIU got a TD after the Bardwell fumble’ they’d have gone into half down 7 and getting the ball.
I guess that’s consistent with the first point, but I don’t think it gets magically easier to drive the length of the field after a turnover.


I agree. I tend to discount points off of turnover when the resulting drive is still 60+ yards. Grey area for me is 50-60.

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Poseidon
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sun Sep 01, 2019 9:54 pm 
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OGSB wrote:
MattK wrote:
A couple of things on that article..

1) He says they gifted us 14 points off turnovers. The first seven did involve a 70 yard drive.

2) ‘If FIU got a TD after the Bardwell fumble’ they’d have gone into half down 7 and getting the ball.
I guess that’s consistent with the first point, but I don’t think it gets magically easier to drive the length of the field after a turnover.


I agree. I tend to discount points off of turnover when the resulting drive is still 60+ yards. Grey area for me is 50-60.


"Points off of turnover" should be a stat that is only active when the ball is turned over on one own side of the field.

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Johnny Mac
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 9:57 am 
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Poseidon wrote:
OGSB wrote:
MattK wrote:
A couple of things on that article..

1) He says they gifted us 14 points off turnovers. The first seven did involve a 70 yard drive.

2) ‘If FIU got a TD after the Bardwell fumble’ they’d have gone into half down 7 and getting the ball.
I guess that’s consistent with the first point, but I don’t think it gets magically easier to drive the length of the field after a turnover.


I agree. I tend to discount points off of turnover when the resulting drive is still 60+ yards. Grey area for me is 50-60.


"Points off of turnover" should be a stat that is only active when the ball is turned over on one own side of the field.


Points off Turnover should be a stat for points scored FROM the turnover, ie interception or fumble returned for a TD or a safety (because the team causing the safety gets the ball after the play means it's technically a turnover)

Points after a turnover should be on a drive that started after a turnover because honestly, most times it's no different than if the other team punted with the obvious exception it happens at least 1 play sooner than the team turning the ball over had hoped!!

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gerryb323
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Mon Sep 02, 2019 1:33 pm 
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Johnny Mac wrote:
Poseidon wrote:
OGSB wrote:
MattK wrote:
A couple of things on that article..

1) He says they gifted us 14 points off turnovers. The first seven did involve a 70 yard drive.

2) ‘If FIU got a TD after the Bardwell fumble’ they’d have gone into half down 7 and getting the ball.
I guess that’s consistent with the first point, but I don’t think it gets magically easier to drive the length of the field after a turnover.


I agree. I tend to discount points off of turnover when the resulting drive is still 60+ yards. Grey area for me is 50-60.


"Points off of turnover" should be a stat that is only active when the ball is turned over on one own side of the field.


Points off Turnover should be a stat for points scored FROM the turnover, ie interception or fumble returned for a TD or a safety (because the team causing the safety gets the ball after the play means it's technically a turnover)

Points after a turnover should be on a drive that started after a turnover because honestly, most times it's no different than if the other team punted with the obvious exception it happens at least 1 play sooner than the team turning the ball over had hoped!!

Agree

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2019 8:58 pm 
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FIU trailing W Kentucky 20-14, mid 4th

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2019 9:18 pm 
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FIU falls to 0-2

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Johnny Mac
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2019 10:15 pm 
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OGSB wrote:
FIU falls to 0-2


W Kentucky got beat by an FCS last week... wow

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2019 10:19 pm 
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Johnny Mac wrote:
OGSB wrote:
FIU falls to 0-2


W Kentucky got beat by an FCS last week... wow


Yeah.

Yeah.

* Sigh *

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2019 9:53 am 
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Ah, is that what that was?

Quote:
Kent State at No. 8 Auburn (-35)
7 p.m., ESPN2
Auburn quarterback Bo Nix will have his way against a defense that has allowed 200-plus against the rush and pass this season. The Tigers will be a little sharper after an emotional letdown against Tulane; this is the game where Auburn pours it on.
Auburns wins 49-10 and COVERS the spread.


College football Week 3 picks against the spread for every top-25 matchup

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ml wave
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2019 10:14 am 
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OGSB wrote:
Ah, is that what that was?

Quote:
Kent State at No. 8 Auburn (-35)
7 p.m., ESPN2
Auburn quarterback Bo Nix will have his way against a defense that has allowed 200-plus against the rush and pass this season. The Tigers will be a little sharper after an emotional letdown against Tulane; this is the game where Auburn pours it on.
Auburns wins 49-10 and COVERS the spread.


College football Week 3 picks against the spread for every top-25 matchup

At the risk of downplaying our defensive effort, Nix is not good.
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long green
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2019 10:20 am 
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I think Nix is good for a true freshman. He'll get better this year and next.

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ml wave
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2019 1:15 pm 
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long green wrote:
I think Nix is good for a true freshman. He'll get better this year and next.

Yeah, not writing him off forever, but he didn't scare me one iota Saturday.
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long green
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2019 1:41 pm 
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Nor me. When he led the comeback against UO (with a lot Duck help) I predicted then he'd get a lot better right up to the point where he stops, like Aaron Murray or Jake Browning.

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sat Sep 14, 2019 6:19 pm 
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Auburn struggling to stop Kent St’s opening possession. 1st and goal from the 5.

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sat Sep 14, 2019 6:23 pm 
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3-0. Kent St was 4-5 on 3rd down on that drive.

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sat Sep 14, 2019 6:46 pm 
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Auburn is running all over the Flashes. 14-3.

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Sat Sep 14, 2019 7:04 pm 
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Kent St does what we couldn’t. Score a TD. 14-10.

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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 18, 2019 9:28 am 
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FIU makes an appearance in a Bottom 10 poll, as does Kent St, Auburn's last opponent:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/ncaafb/bottom-25-college-football-rankings-georgia-tech-makes-big-climb-ucla-inches-closer-to-the-top/ar-AAHrm2c?ocid=spartandhp

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PeteRasche
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 18, 2019 10:45 am 
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1. Good gracious that poll makes me soooooo thankful to not be in CUSA anymore.
2. How is UConn not in that list? Regardless, not sad only one AAC team in there.
3. Georgia Tech... Ouch, man.
4. Everyone who thought we should replace UConn with UMass... See this list. No.
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krewe of ham and eggs
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 18, 2019 10:48 am 
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Seeing us listed in bowl projections > seeing us every week in the bottom 10

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gerryb323
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 18, 2019 11:09 am 
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PeteRasche wrote:
4. Everyone who thought we should replace UConn with UMass... See this list. No.

There's a new upstart school called "Louisiana;" seemingly came out of no where. Rivalry possiblity? Someone should explore this more.

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PeteRasche
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 18, 2019 11:12 am 
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gerryb323 wrote:
PeteRasche wrote:
4. Everyone who thought we should replace UConn with UMass... See this list. No.

There's a new upstart school called "Louisiana;" seemingly came out of no where. Rivalry possiblity? Someone should explore this more.

I think what would be more hurtful than making fun of them would be to ignore them completely.
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OGSB
 Post subject: Re: Past opponents
PostPosted: Wed Sep 18, 2019 11:22 am 
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PeteRasche wrote:
2. How is UConn not in that list? Regardless, not sad only one AAC team in there.


Yeah, this could also go on the future opponents thread, with ECU at 21. USF was #3 last week but rose all the way out.

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