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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 12:37 pm 
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Still early but Irma projects as a Cat 4 entering the Gulf through the Florida Keys. At Cat 4 it really would be THROUGH the Keys. First, St. Martaan and the British Virgin Islands look to take a right front quadrant hit from Cat 5 Irma. Would be catastrophic.

Now with Jose, looks like it could be a tenuous next couple of weeks in the Gulf and the Atlantic.

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 1:04 pm 
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Irma is now the 32nd Category 5 hurricane in recorded history. Looking bad for the folks in her way.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 1:05 pm 
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I'm glad that I got to see St. Martin while it still had foliage. I have a cousin in Key West. I hope that he's making his departure plans.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 1:09 pm 
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most of the spaghetti models have it making a near 90 degree turn, north... however it's said this for a week now.. and it keeps projecting further and further west before it does that.

the last NHC update has it starting that upward track once past Key West

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 1:13 pm 
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while the storm has not made a 90 degree turn yet it has started to inch north again.

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 1:54 pm 
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windywave wrote:
FW wrote:
Say goodbye to Puerto Rico


Don't you mean adios?


Nah, they speak English there too


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:47 pm 
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FW wrote:
Say goodbye to Puerto Rico


PR is about to get fudged up the corn chute.... Cat 5... the ONLY saving grace is the storm is passing to the North, so the worst part of Irma will not hit.. but they are still going to be clobbered

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:14 am 
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Well, track (5AM AST today, advisory 29) now has Irma right in middle of south Florida five days out. Significant change from yesterday AM. See page 1 for current projection.

FS'54

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 9:58 am 
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Dolphins-Bucs moved to November. University of Miami cancelled all of their athletic events for this weekend.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:03 am 
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FW wrote:
Dolphins-Bucs moved to November. University of Miami cancelled all of their athletic events for this weekend.


I understand it's a month away, but I'm actually concerned the FIU game will be moved.. this could bring Andrew type destruction to the west suburbs of Miami, as it will still be Cat 3 by the time the eye moves up around Kendall. I was planning on driving down to bring back some furniture from the in-laws in Miami... not sure what shape it's going to be in

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:23 am 
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Johnny Mac wrote:
FW wrote:
Dolphins-Bucs moved to November. University of Miami cancelled all of their athletic events for this weekend.


I understand it's a month away, but I'm actually concerned the FIU game will be moved.. this could bring Andrew type destruction to the west suburbs of Miami, as it will still be Cat 3 by the time the eye moves up around Kendall. I was planning on driving down to bring back some furniture from the in-laws in Miami... not sure what shape it's going to be in


OK with me if they move it to Yulman. Let's get TD right on it......

Meanwhile don't discount more Tulane fans in Norman than expected today if Irma does shift really South.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:30 am 
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The outlier models showing a path across the gulf are becoming fewer and fewer. I think it's pretty likely it does the predicted turn and runs up Florida.

Then y'all start watching the next one behind it (Jose).
Although it appears to be going much farther north in the Atlantic (probably due to the high expected to push Irma north).


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:43 am 
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Johnny Mac wrote:
FW wrote:
Dolphins-Bucs moved to November. University of Miami cancelled all of their athletic events for this weekend.


I understand it's a month away, but I'm actually concerned the FIU game will be moved.


FIU is playing their 'home' game in Birmingham this weekend. Miami cancelled their away game at Arkansas State?


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:59 am 
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TU77CAL82 wrote:
Johnny Mac wrote:
FW wrote:
Dolphins-Bucs moved to November. University of Miami cancelled all of their athletic events for this weekend.


I understand it's a month away, but I'm actually concerned the FIU game will be moved.


FIU is playing their 'home' game in Birmingham this weekend. Miami cancelled their away game at Arkansas State?

Burying the lede...Miami is playing at Arkansas State?


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 11:06 am 
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TU77CAL82 wrote:
Miami cancelled their away game at Arkansas State?
Maybe they actually think it's prudent that the players pack up their stuff and get it out of there rather than going off to play a game?


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 11:22 am 
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PeteRasche wrote:
TU77CAL82 wrote:
Miami cancelled their away game at Arkansas State?
Maybe they actually think it's prudent that the players pack up their stuff and get it out of there rather than going off to play a game?

That's just crazy talk....


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:21 pm 
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I'm sorry to stop the mass Mrs. Reverend Lovejoy impression but the "why can't they play the game" crowd is right. Leave early, stay late. There is plenty of time and space to see what will happen with this storm. But we have to always be topping ourselves in long-distance concern-trolling.

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:27 pm 
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long green wrote:
I'm sorry to stop the mass Mrs. Reverend Lovejoy impression but the "why can't they play the game" crowd is right. Leave early, stay late. There is plenty of time and space to see what will happen with this storm. But we have to always be topping ourselves in long-distance concern-trolling.
Totally agree. If the storm actually comes to where I live, it won't get here before Tuesday or Wednesday at the earliest, but in the past 7 hours I've gotten 7 phone calls from friends and family, inquiring as to how we're making out with the hurricane. Plus a passel of emails and texts.

The news media have GOT TO STOP the hype fest. They claim it's a "public service" to give "ample" warning, but it's really just to scare folks and keep them tuned in. :roll:


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:36 pm 
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If I weren't on my phone and it weren't such a bother, I'd give you a captain obvious meme. :lol:


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:38 pm 
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PeteRasche wrote:
If I weren't on my phone and it weren't such a bother, I'd give you a captain obvious meme. :lol:


The tragedy of our times is that this is a valid and understandable excuse. God help us.

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:39 pm 
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I've grown to really like David Bernard who I think is turning out to be the best knowledgeable and calm weather prognosticator we have. And this is what he has to say to us:

"1. We are not in the 5 day forecast cone. Not even close
2. There are no watches and warnings for our area
3. There is no discussion of any pending evacuations
4. There are no reliable computer models that bring the storm here"

so we should just relax and enjoy this glorious cool (for us in September) weather

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:46 pm 
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GreenieBacker, I don't think anyone is (much at all) concerned with it hitting New Orleans. Roller's not there, ya know.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:50 pm 
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Pete, I'm aware Roller is not here. But since you don't live here either you might be surprised at the level of anxiety people were feeling over this storm. And Irma had been tracking, slowly, ever westward. Which had a number of us concerned since Katrina did the same thing. It wasn't until last night that we saw the first move back toward the East. And poor Florida.

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 1:06 pm 
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And now USF and UConn are in talks about cancelling or moving up game time for the game in East Hartford.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 1:09 pm 
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TU77CAL82 wrote:
And now USF and UConn are in talks about cancelling or moving up game time for the game in East Hartford.


The "I Care So Hard" arms race is off and running.

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