First there was Harvey...

Non-Tulane News Discussion-
Anything that doesn't belong on any Tulane forum sans Religious or Political discussion or debate
User avatar
Fan Since '54
Regent's Circle
Posts: 9409
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2004 8:28 am
Location: Back home again...Oak Park sub division

First there was Harvey...

Post by Fan Since '54 »

...now there is Irma. Hope that biach leaves the Gulf coast or Florida or the Atlantic coast alone and meanders out into the northern Atlantic before she dies off.

FS'54
"...a hellava Hullabaloo"
User avatar
WaveProf
Cornerstone
Posts: 25867
Joined: Sun Sep 13, 2009 12:45 pm
Location: Irish Channel, New Orleans

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by WaveProf »

Don't waste your time until she at least reaches the lesser Antilles.
“We will expect success in all endeavors and be prepared to assess and hold ourselves accountable when we aren't successful. Tulane is a top 40 academic institution and it should expect nothing less from its athletic department.” --Troy Dannen 11.5.16
User avatar
Johnny Mac
Emerald Circle
Posts: 10557
Joined: Sun Jun 20, 2004 2:15 pm
Location: Floriduh

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Johnny Mac »

WaveProf wrote:Don't waste your time until she at least reaches the lesser Antilles.
spaghetti lines look worrisome even this early on... original lines yesterday had all but one sending it up the gulf stream... now all but one sending it to or south of Cuba... not a good track
Image
YOGWF - of all the Tulane fans in the world, we're the Tulaniest
User avatar
PeteRasche
Cornerstone
Posts: 30887
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:52 am
Location: Cincinnati, OH

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by PeteRasche »

The Weather Channel is still buzzed from their week+ viewership binge and will overhype anything to keep it going.
User avatar
Fan Since '54
Regent's Circle
Posts: 9409
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2004 8:28 am
Location: Back home again...Oak Park sub division

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Fan Since '54 »

WaveProf wrote:Don't waste your time until she at least reaches the lesser Antilles.
I don't know how many of you here were Boy Scouts. I was.

"Be prepared."

Fan since '54
"...a hellava Hullabaloo"
User avatar
Johnny Mac
Emerald Circle
Posts: 10557
Joined: Sun Jun 20, 2004 2:15 pm
Location: Floriduh

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Johnny Mac »

good news for the Gulf.. only 1 computer model has it going to the west of FL and the eastern part of the Gulf

bad news for the outer banks and Virginia.. multiple models have Irma heading that way... a few have it curving back out to the east....

right now, most models have Bermuda getting destroyed and a lot of them even show only a glancing blow to the eastern Caribbean
Image
YOGWF - of all the Tulane fans in the world, we're the Tulaniest
User avatar
wave-em in
President's Circle
Posts: 3187
Joined: Sat Jun 28, 2008 1:46 am

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by wave-em in »

Could affect the Navy game.
User avatar
WaveProf
Cornerstone
Posts: 25867
Joined: Sun Sep 13, 2009 12:45 pm
Location: Irish Channel, New Orleans

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by WaveProf »

wave-em in wrote:Could affect the Navy game.
The images in looking at don't have it moving fast enough to get to MD by next Saturday
“We will expect success in all endeavors and be prepared to assess and hold ourselves accountable when we aren't successful. Tulane is a top 40 academic institution and it should expect nothing less from its athletic department.” --Troy Dannen 11.5.16
User avatar
Johnny Mac
Emerald Circle
Posts: 10557
Joined: Sun Jun 20, 2004 2:15 pm
Location: Floriduh

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Johnny Mac »

wave-em in wrote:Could affect the Navy game.
lots of spaghetti lines have Georgia, SC and NC in the cross hairs... as a cat 3 or 4, it would still be hurricane strength if it hit my house... my well runs on electricity so I may be one of those "filling up the tub" people!!
Image
YOGWF - of all the Tulane fans in the world, we're the Tulaniest
User avatar
Roller
Cornerstone
Posts: 36909
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2004 7:30 pm
Location: 9½° due east of The Tulane University of Louisiana

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Roller »

I'm supposed to spend the week of the `0th thru the 16th in North Carolina for my Mother-in-Law's 90th birthday.

But it looks like a good chance Irma could be near my house about the time I'm due to leave, so I'll need to empty my refrigerators (power goes off at the drop of a hat around here, and my Gen set hasn't gotten installed yet) and put the windbars in my garage. This area doesn't really get much in the way of hurricane activity (because of the shape of the Florida east coastline and the gulf-stream), but Matthew made us believe last year.

Then, there's a good chance we'll get at least some remnant activity in Winston-Salem a few days later.

Betsy got me twice in '67...this could be my second double.
User avatar
OGSB
Emerald Circle
Posts: 18789
Joined: Mon Jun 21, 2004 4:00 pm

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by OGSB »

Irma currently moving west as track is forecast as WSW, so maybe follow the northern track of the bubble?

On edit: As I post, latest update shows Irma now moving WSW. Current track has it going right through the Bahamas
Victory is never permanent
User avatar
Fan Since '54
Regent's Circle
Posts: 9409
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2004 8:28 am
Location: Back home again...Oak Park sub division

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Fan Since '54 »

Okay, I'm not enamored with the latest track model. Don't want that SOB in the Gulf.

Image

Fan since '54
"...a hellava Hullabaloo"
User avatar
sr
Regent's Circle
Posts: 8018
Joined: Fri Jun 25, 2004 12:54 pm
Location: Dripping Springs

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by sr »

Roller wrote:Betsy got me twice in '67...this could be my second double.
Check that Betsy date. Believe it was '65.
User avatar
PeteRasche
Cornerstone
Posts: 30887
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:52 am
Location: Cincinnati, OH

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by PeteRasche »

That's a bad path prediction there (as of 9/4 am, in case it's a live link). That's hitting all the Caribbean islands AND heading into the gulf.
User avatar
Roller
Cornerstone
Posts: 36909
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2004 7:30 pm
Location: 9½° due east of The Tulane University of Louisiana

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Roller »

sr wrote:
Roller wrote:Betsy got me twice in '67...this could be my second double.
Check that Betsy date. Believe it was '65.
Yep, it was. (typo) I was on a midshipman cruise aboard a Navy destroyer somewhere out in the Atlantic where we rode through a rough night as Betsy came through the area. Then we put into Norfolk and I flew home to New Orleans, just in time for her to find me again.

(One of my friends who was also on the cruise went from Norfolk to Miami to visit his uncle, then he went home to New Orleans. He was "blessed" three times by the same storm.)
User avatar
sr
Regent's Circle
Posts: 8018
Joined: Fri Jun 25, 2004 12:54 pm
Location: Dripping Springs

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by sr »

Tracking maps ...

Image

Image

Image
windywave
Emerald Circle
Posts: 23292
Joined: Wed Nov 17, 2010 11:13 am
Location: Chicago

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by windywave »

UGH
Using big words is not a personal attack
#cousins don't count
User avatar
Johnny Mac
Emerald Circle
Posts: 10557
Joined: Sun Jun 20, 2004 2:15 pm
Location: Floriduh

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Johnny Mac »

PeteRasche wrote:That's a bad path prediction there (as of 9/4 am, in case it's a live link). That's hitting all the Caribbean islands AND heading into the gulf.
but the experts are insisting it's going to head north because of a high pressure system in the middle of the Atlantic and some other ridge... still think it's going right up the center of Florida... Miami, FLL, Boca, West Palm all on the east side of the storm as it splits America's wang up the middle
Image
YOGWF - of all the Tulane fans in the world, we're the Tulaniest
User avatar
Johnny Mac
Emerald Circle
Posts: 10557
Joined: Sun Jun 20, 2004 2:15 pm
Location: Floriduh

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by Johnny Mac »

sr wrote:
Roller wrote:Betsy got me twice in '67...this could be my second double.
Check that Betsy date. Believe it was '65.

It was... not sure how Roller got it twice unless he was on a boat... or was in FL then went to NO
Image
YOGWF - of all the Tulane fans in the world, we're the Tulaniest
User avatar
wave-em in
President's Circle
Posts: 3187
Joined: Sat Jun 28, 2008 1:46 am

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by wave-em in »

Looking very similar to Donna's path from 1960

Image
User avatar
PeteRasche
Cornerstone
Posts: 30887
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:52 am
Location: Cincinnati, OH

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by PeteRasche »

Johnny Mac wrote:but the experts are insisting it's going to head north because of a high pressure system in the middle of the Atlantic and some other ridge... still think it's going right up the center of Florida... Miami, FLL, Boca, West Palm all on the east side of the storm as it splits America's wang up the middle
I googled "Irma spaghetti models" earlier today and got some page (I don't remember the site) that had like 30 model paths, all of which created a huge glob of possibilities.... but almost all of them would go straight up along Florida. Either up the east coast, up the west coast, or, to use your metaphor, full catheterization. :shock: :|

The good news (being selfish) is only like one out of thirty headed anywhere remotely close to LA... though that one pretty much went dead through New Orleans.
User avatar
sr
Regent's Circle
Posts: 8018
Joined: Fri Jun 25, 2004 12:54 pm
Location: Dripping Springs

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by sr »

Irma needs to start moving a bit North.

EDIT: ... and if you look at showers in the Bay of Campeche, last night at noon the weather jocks give it a 5070% chance of developing.
Last edited by sr on Tue Sep 05, 2017 12:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
User avatar
FW
Cornerstone
Posts: 32782
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 8:24 am
Location: Chattanooga, TN

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by FW »

Say goodbye to Puerto Rico
windywave
Emerald Circle
Posts: 23292
Joined: Wed Nov 17, 2010 11:13 am
Location: Chicago

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by windywave »

Jose just formed
Using big words is not a personal attack
#cousins don't count
windywave
Emerald Circle
Posts: 23292
Joined: Wed Nov 17, 2010 11:13 am
Location: Chicago

Re: First there was Harvey...

Post by windywave »

FW wrote:Say goodbye to Puerto Rico
Don't you mean adios?
Using big words is not a personal attack
#cousins don't count
Post Reply